Shiqi Ye Assistant Professor · AMSS Center for Forecasting Science, CAS 中文 Admin

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About Shiqi Ye

Affiliations, research interests, education, honors, service, and profile links.

Portrait of Shiqi Ye

Shiqi Ye is an Assistant Professor at the AMSS Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences. He is also a Special Research Assistant at the National Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences and a research assistant for the NSFC Basic Science Center for Econometric Modeling and Economic Policy Studies.

His research appears in Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Journal of Management Science and Engineering, Nature - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Energy Economics, Economic Research Journal, China Industrial Economics, The Journal of World Economy, Statistical Research, and China Journal of Econometrics.

His methodological work studies high-dimensional time-varying systems built from vector, matrix, tensor, and mixed-frequency data, with score-driven methods as a central modeling device. His applied work focuses on macroeconomic risk management, economic monitoring and forecasting, industrial-chain resilience, climate and transition risk, and financial connectedness.

He has led or contributed to research projects supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, the National Data Administration, the National Social Science Fund of China, and State Grid. His papers and presentations have received awards from ANZESG, the International Symposium on Forecasting, the China Macroeconomics Society, the Fujian Social Science Outstanding Achievement Awards, and other academic meetings.

He received a Ph.D. in Quantitative Economics from the Gregory and Paula Chow Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University, an M.A. in Applied Economics and Econometrics from the University of Southern California, and a B.S. in Mathematics and Applied Mathematics from the University of Science and Technology of China.

Research Interests

High-dimensional time-varying systems

Score-driven models, matrix and tensor time series, dynamic factor methods, TVP-VARs, and covariance models for rich economic and financial data.

Macroeconomic monitoring and risk management

Growth-at-risk, inflation-at-risk, prosperity indexes, consumption vulnerability, and data-rich forecasting and nowcasting.

Connectedness, resilience, and policy evaluation

Industrial-chain resilience, global trade networks, energy and commodity spillovers, climate transition risk, and macro-financial policy transmission.

Appointments

Assistant Professor

AMSS Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences | 2024.07-present

Special Research Assistant

National Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences | 2024.07-present

Research Assistant

NSFC Basic Science Center for Econometric Modeling and Economic Policy Studies | 2022.03-present

Young Editorial Board Member

Studies in Quantitative Economics | 2025.09-present

Professional Member

Australia-New Zealand Econometric Study Group | 2025.05-present

Education

Ph.D. in Economics, Quantitative Economics

Gregory and Paula Chow Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University | 2020-2024

M.A. in Applied Economics and Econometrics

USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences | 2018-2020

B.S. in Mathematics and Applied Mathematics

University of Science and Technology of China | 2014-2018

Visiting Appointments

Queen Mary University of London

Visiting scholar | 2025.12-2026.01

Host: Liudas Giraitis.

Tinbergen Institute

Guest visiting scholar | 2025.09-2025.10

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Visiting scholar, Department of Econometrics and Data Science | 2025.04-2025.05

Host: Andre Lucas.

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Visiting scholar, Department of Econometrics and Data Science | 2024.12-2025.12

Host: Yicong Lin.

Selected Honors

Best Paper Award

Economic Measurement and Economic Statistics Seminar | 2026

Outstanding Organizer Award

Econometric Society Asian Summer School in Econometrics and Statistics | 2026

Excellent Paper Award

Chinese Economic Association UK/Europe Annual Conference | 2026

Top 10 Best Chinese Papers in World Economics

Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences | 2025

Excellent Paper Award

China Macroeconomics Society | 2025

Excellent Paper Award, Second Prize

16th Fujian Social Science Outstanding Achievement Award | 2025

Excellent Paper Award

Inaugural CUEB-AMSS Bilateral PhD Forum | 2025

Selected Paper Award

2024 Annual Conference of the China Industrial Economics Society | 2024

Excellent Paper Nomination Award

6th China Industrial Economics Society Youth Forum | 2024

Young Econometrician Award

Australia New Zealand Econometric Study Group | 2023

Best 3-Minute Presentation Award

Time Series and Forecasting Symposium, University of Sydney | 2023

Excellent Paper Awards

Annual Conference of Quantitative Economics; 17th China Economic Growth and Cycles Summit Forum | 2023

Best Student Paper Award

IEEE DSAA | 2022

Excellent Teaching Assistant Award

Xiamen University | 2021-2022

Undergraduate Academic Scholarship

University of Science and Technology of China | 2014-2015

Academic Service

Area Chair

EMNLP Workshop | 2026.08

Co-Chair

Econometric Society Asian Summer School in Econometrics and Statistics | 2026.07

Referee service

Journal of Applied Econometrics, Empirical Economics, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, Economic Modelling, Finance Research Letters, Financial Innovation, Econometric Reviews, Economic Research Journal, Management World, China Industrial Economics, Journal of Management Sciences, Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, China Journal of Econometrics, and Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics.

Books, Reports & Patents

Method, electronic device, and medium for constructing a time-varying mixed-frequency dynamic factor model

Patent | 2026

China Industrial Resilience in 2025 and Outlook for 2026

Science Press | 2026

Advanced Econometrics: Study Guide and Exercise Solutions

Xiamen University Press | 2024

Teaching

Advanced Econometrics

Teaching assistant | 2022, 2023

Financial Econometrics

Teaching assistant | 2023

Macroeconomics

Teaching assistant | 2023

Literature Reading and Writing

Teaching assistant | 2022

Skills

Statistical software

Python, Matlab, R, STATA

Languages

Chinese, English, Minnan

Selected Funded Projects

National Postdoctoral Researcher Program

Time-varying complex-system modeling for the digital economy with big data and large language models | 2025-2026

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, Special Grant

Score-driven matrix dynamic factor models | 2025-2026

National Data Administration commissioned project

Dynamic analysis and forecasting of domestic data-governance conditions | 2024-2025

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, General Grant

Score-driven mixed-frequency dynamic factor models | 2024-2026

NSFC Young Student Basic Research Program

Extensions of multi-matrix autoregressive models and applications in economics | 2024-2026

Selected Collaborative Projects

Dynamic monitoring and coordinated governance of migrant-worker employment

NSFC Key Program | 2027-2031

Mathematical computing and information science

China Science Cloud AI Star Young Scientist Innovation Fund | 2026

Macroeconomic monitoring, forecasting, and risk prevention under development-security coordination

National Social Science Fund academic association project | 2026-2028

Domestic circulation measurement and regional industrial-transfer paths

Fifth National Economic Census input-output research project | 2025

Electricity demand forecasting and power-data mining with multidimensional complex factors

State Grid headquarters technology project | 2025-2027

Economic discipline development strategy for China's 15th Five-Year Plan

NSFC strategic research project | 2024-2026

Econometric modeling and economic policy studies

NSFC Basic Science Center Program | 2020-2024

Big-data methods for macroeconomic forecasting

Major Program of the National Social Science Fund of China | 2024-2027

Large economic-system modeling with high-dimensional VAR methods

NSFC General Program | 2024-2027

Macroeconometric model research and applications in China

MOE Key Research Institute major project | 2023-2025

Dual-carbon goals, transition risk, and financial security

Collaborative Innovation Center for Financial Security | 2022-2023

Macroeconomic monitoring with multi-source data

National Statistical Science key project | 2022-2024

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