Shiqi Ye Assistant Professor · AMSS Center for Forecasting Science, CAS 中文 Admin

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About Shiqi Ye

Affiliations, research interests, education, honors, service, and profile links.

Portrait of Shiqi Ye

Shiqi Ye is an Assistant Professor at the AMSS Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences. He is also a Special Research Assistant at the National Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences and a research assistant for the NSFC Basic Science Center for Econometric Modeling and Economic Policy Studies.

His research spans time-series econometrics, applied macroeconometrics, and financial econometrics. Methodologically, he studies high-dimensional time-varying systems built from vector, matrix, tensor, and mixed-frequency data. Empirically, he works on macroeconomic risk management, economic monitoring and forecasting, industrial-chain resilience, climate and transition risk, and financial connectedness.

He received a Ph.D. in Quantitative Economics from the Gregory and Paula Chow Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University, an M.A. in Applied Economics and Econometrics from the University of Southern California, and a B.S. in Mathematics and Applied Mathematics from the University of Science and Technology of China.

Research Interests

High-dimensional time-varying systems

Score-driven models, dynamic factor methods, TVP-VARs, matrix autoregressions, and covariance models for rich economic and financial data.

Macroeconomic monitoring and risk management

Growth-at-risk, inflation-at-risk, prosperity indexes, consumption vulnerability, and data-rich nowcasting.

Connectedness, resilience, and policy evaluation

Industrial-chain resilience, global trade networks, energy and commodity spillovers, climate transition risk, and macro-financial policy transmission.

Appointments

Assistant Professor

AMSS Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences | 2024.07-present

Special Research Assistant

National Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences | 2024.07-present

Research Assistant

NSFC Basic Science Center for Econometric Modeling and Economic Policy Studies | 2022.03-present

Young Editorial Board Member

Studies in Quantitative Economics | 2025.09-present

Education

Ph.D. in Economics, Quantitative Economics

Gregory and Paula Chow Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University | 2020-2024

M.A. in Applied Economics and Econometrics

University of Southern California | 2018-2020

B.S. in Mathematics and Applied Mathematics

University of Science and Technology of China | 2014-2018

Visiting Appointments

Queen Mary University of London

Visiting scholar | 2025.12-2026.01

Tinbergen Institute

Visiting scholar | 2025.09-2025.10

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Department of Econometrics and Data Science | 2024.12-2025.12

Selected Honors

Excellent Paper Award

Chinese Economic Association UK/Europe Annual Conference | 2026

Top 10 Best Chinese Papers in World Economics

Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences | 2025

Excellent Paper Award

China Macroeconomics Society | 2025

Excellent Paper Award, Second Prize

16th Fujian Social Science Outstanding Achievement Award | 2025

Excellent Paper Award

Inaugural CUEB-AMSS Bilateral PhD Forum | 2025

Selected Paper Award

2024 Annual Conference of the China Industrial Economics Society | 2024

Excellent Paper Nomination Award

6th China Industrial Economics Society Youth Forum | 2024

Young Econometrician Award

Australia New Zealand Econometric Study Group | 2023

Best 3-Minute Presentation Award

Time Series and Forecasting Symposium, University of Sydney | 2023

Excellent Paper Awards

Annual Conference of Quantitative Economics; 17th China Economic Growth and Cycles Summit Forum | 2023

Best Student Paper Award

IEEE DSAA | 2022

Academic Service

Referee service

Journal of Applied Econometrics, Empirical Economics, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, Economic Modelling, Finance Research Letters, Financial Innovation, Econometric Reviews, and leading Chinese economics and management journals.

Selected Funded Projects

National Postdoctoral Researcher Program

Time-varying complex-system modeling for the digital economy | 2025-2026

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, Special Grant

Score-driven matrix dynamic factor models | 2025-2026

National Data Administration commissioned project

Dynamic analysis and forecasting of domestic data-governance conditions | 2024-2025

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, General Grant

Score-driven mixed-frequency dynamic factor models | 2024-2026

NSFC Young Student Basic Research Program

Extensions of multi-matrix autoregressive models and economic applications | 2024-2026

Selected Collaborative Projects

Macroeconomic monitoring, forecasting, and risk prevention under development-security coordination

National Social Science Fund academic association project | 2026-2028

Electricity demand forecasting and power-data mining

State Grid headquarters technology project | 2025-2027

Economic discipline development strategy for China's 15th Five-Year Plan

NSFC strategic research project | 2024-2026

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